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20121002
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in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
question is, is there something come is there a candidate to advance his agenda pushed analysis if romney loses. it's not guaranteed romney will lose. obama after three great weeks is at 50 so it's not like he is at 54 with a big margin of error. that if romney doesn't lose, i think the big question will be is there someone who kind of challenges the party on issues, particularly with immigration and maybe a little bit on social issues. >> i think, i actually think that someone who explicitly makes the case would be worse -- look at a bob mcdonnell in virginia. he is someone who clearly was socially conservative, telegraph that very clear to his voters and the thought of him as reliable, and so he was able to go after suburban voters and what have you. but because you thought of him as reliable and say, he was able to frame things effectively. i think that's a better model. compare a huntsman to george w. bush. >> and marco rubio. i can imagine jeb bush is being the intellectual leader, but not running himself, maybe trying to see a rubio was not message of anti-and i can't get but furthe
for romney and santorum and ron paul and newt gingrich, up until super tuesday they had spent a total of all the candidates of $53 million. and that one weekend they raise $100 million. they are huge to they will say and they will do anything. of course, it's a lot easier for the now since citizens united because you're not on raise unlimited corporate money but you don't have to report which corporations obtained which bills. but they also couldn't do it wi
and in touch with what governor romney said about the 47% that he obviously doesn't care about. the fact of the matter is that my opponent doesn't seem to care very much about them either. he voted five times to give tax breaks to corporations that ship our jobs overseas. he voted nine times for big oil to continue their tax subsidies, he voted twice -- not once, but twice to end medicare by turning it over to private insurance companies. that's not providing a safety net. that is creating a promise for the people of the state of nevada. they node to know who's fighting for him and who's fighting for the big guys. time and again whatever my opponent says -- and he talks a good game. rather than standing with middle income nevada cans who have lost their jobs through no fault of their own, my opponent has been voting with wall street, voting with corporations that ship our jobs overseas, voting with big oil instead of taking care of business at home. you want to create jobs? don't give tax subsidies to big oil. invest in nevada's renewable energy companies. he voted against investing, inv
. >> next wednesday, street, mitt romney and obama meet in the first presidential debate. moderated by jim lehrer from the university of denver. the debate at 9:00 p.m. and after the debate, your reactions, calls, e-mails and tweets. call us on c-span radio and online at c-span.org. >> this panel discusses the high school graduation rates. this is approximately one-hour. >> good morning. [inaudible] we all form together a governing advisory council. the guidance anticipation of that council has for about provided a wide range of experience, viewpoints and expertise, and gives the hamilton project a pragmatic and very special perspective on policy issues. we conducted extensive outreach to the government and the media. our events involve policy papers as indicates today, they are subject to rigorous review. we believe that the objectives of economic policy should be growth, widespread increases in income, and economic security is also the least that all of these objectives reinforce each other. we also believe in market-based economics, and equally in a strong government to perform the func
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5